Thursday, November 10, 2005

Looking Ahead


I'm trying to stick with the coaching adage to take 'em one game at a time, but with only 3 NBA games on the schedule for Thursday, I figured I'd take a peek at the NFL lines. Last week all of the favorites covered, except for the Chargers. Additionally, there was unevenly weighted action on the favorites last weekend, and the sportsbooks took a beating. It looks like the books have responded by inflating the lines a bit this week. Take a look at a few of these lines:
Bears -13 vs San Francisco
Colts -17 vs Houston
Falcons -9 vs Green Bay
NY Giants -9.5 vs Minnesota
Panthers -8.5 vs NY Jets

I can't bet against the Colts with the way they're playing, but the underdogs in all of the other games are very tempting. The Bears can't score and the Niners play good D; The football gods will punish Vick for saying he doesn't deserve any further criticism, plus I think Tagliabue is looking into a way to get Favre a win; If Brad Johnson doesn't fumble any of the 5 times the Giants sack him, he should be able to put some points on the board; the Panthers' pregame ritual of inviting cheerleaders into the bathroom stalls has been stymied, so who knows how they'll respond.

Of all these, I'm most tempted by the Niners, even tho betting on Cody Pickett is bankroll suicide. We'll see. I still have a few more days to waver.

As for Thursday's NBA action, I'm going w/ Detroit at Phoenix over 201.5. Flip Saunders has a more wide open offense for the Pistons than they had under Larry Brown. I think they'll get caught up in the up-and-down tempo of the Suns. Even Darko might have more than 5 points in this one.

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